CONDIÇÃO FINANCEIRA DE GOVERNOS LOCAIS: UMA REVISÃO SISTEMÁTICA DA LITERATURA

Daniel Vitor Tartari Garruti, Flávio Barboza, Ricardo Rocha de Azevedo

Resumo


Durante períodos de dificuldades financeiras, governos locais tendem a enfrentar impactos financeiros significativos, o que pode afetar a qualidade dos serviços prestados à população, como foi observado na década de 1970 em municípios dos Estados Unidos e mais recentemente durante e após a crise internacional de 2008. Nesse contexto, surge a necessidade de uma gestão fiscal eficiente que minimize os efeitos negativos para os cidadãos locais. Este estudo tem como objetivo apresentar resultados de uma revisão sistemática da literatura sobre a condição financeira de governos locais, destacando os principais fatores e tendências abordados nas pesquisas. Adicionalmente, busca-se contribuir apresentando lacunas na literatura para estudos futuros sobre o assunto. A análise revelou 9 possibilidades de estudos relacionados a 3 objetivos, 4 metodologias e 9 fatores relevantes. Vale ressaltar a importância de categorias que demonstraram importância nos trabalhos anteriores como os fatores de receitas e despesas por exemplo.


Palavras-chave


Condição Financeira Governamental; Governos Locais; Revisão Sistemática da Literatura; ProKnow-C.

Texto completo:

PDF

Referências


ARAÚJO, Ronaldo José Rêgo de et al. Medidas objetivas e subjetivas de condição financeira governamental: os gestores públicos municipais conhecem sua condição financeira?. Enfoque: Reflexão Contábil, v. 42, n. 1, p. 154-172, 2023. https://doi.org/10.4025/enfoque.v42i1.57075

ALEKSANDROVA-ZLATANSKA, Svetlana. Fiscal Discipline Assessment Model for Bulgarian Municipalities. Economic Studies, v. 29, n. 2, p. 45–73, 2020. https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=844364

ANTULOV-FANTULIN, Nino; LAGRAVINESE, Raffaele; RESCE, Giuliano. Predicting bankruptcy of local government: A machine learning approach. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, v. 183, p. 681–699, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.01.014

BENITO, Bernardino; BASTIDA, Francisco; MUÑOZ, Mª José. Explanatory factors of the municipal fiscal burden. Revista de Contabilidad-Spanish Accounting Review, v. 13, n. 2, p. 239–283, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1138-4891(10)70018-2

BISOGNO, Marco et al. Budgetary solvency of Italian local governments: an assessment. International Journal of Public Sector Management, v. 32, n. 2, p. 122–141, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPSM-11-2017-0328

BOCCHINO, Matteo; PADOVANI, Emanuele. Does municipal fiscal distress hinder inter-municipal cooperation? Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting and Financial Management, v. 33, n. 5, p. 552–574, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1108/JPBAFM-07-2020-0095

BROWN, Ken W. The 10-point test of financial condition: Toward an easy-to-use assessment tool for smaller cities. Government Finance Review, v. 9, p. 1–21, 1993.

BUENDÍA-CARRILLO, Dionisio et al. The impact of population size on the risk of local government default. International Tax and Public Finance, v. 27, n. 5, p. 1264–1286, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-020-09591-9

CHEN, Dan. Risk Assessment of Government Debt Based on Machine Learning Algorithm. Complexity, v. 2021, p. 1-12, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/3686692

CHUNG, II Hwan; WILLIAMS, Daniel. Local governments’ responses to the fiscal stress label: the case of New York. Local Government Studies, v. 47, n. 5, p. 808–835, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/03003930.2020.1797693

CLARK, Terry Nichols. Fiscal Management of American Cities: Funds Flow Indicators. Journal of Accounting Research, v. 15, p. 54–94, 1977. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490632

CLARK, Terry Nichols. Municipal fiscal strain: Indicators and causes. Government Finance Review, v. 10, p. 1–27, 1994.

COHEN, Sandra; COSTANZO, Antonella; MANES-ROSSI, Francesca. Auditors and early signals of financial distress in local governments. Managerial Auditing Journal, v. 32, n. 3, p. 234–250, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1108/MAJ-05-2016-1371

DANTAS JUNIOR, Amarando Francisco; DINIZ, Josedilton Alves; LIMA, Severino Cesário de. A INFLUÊNCIA DO FEDERALISMO FISCAL SOBRE O ESTRESSE FISCAL DOS MUNICÍPIOS BRASILEIROS. Advances in Scientific & Applied Accounting, v. 12, n. 3, 2019. https://doi.org/10.14392/ASAA.2019120304

DINIZ, Josedilton Alves; MACEDO, Marcelo Alvaro da Silva; CORRAR, Luiz João. Mensuração da eficiência financeira municipal no Brasil e sua relação com os gastos nas funções de governo. Gestão & Regionalidade, v. 28, n. 83, 2012. https://doi.org/10.13037/gr.vol28n83.1347

ENSSLIN, L. et al. Processo de Seleção de Portfólio Bibliográfico. Brasil, 2010a.

ENSSLIN, L. et al. ProKnow-C, Knowledge Development Process Constructivist. Brasil, Processo técnico com patente de registro pendente junto ao INPI, 2010b.

GARCÍA-SÁNCHEZ, Isabel Maria et al. A New Predictor of Local Financial Distress. International Journal of Public Administration, v. 35, n. 11, p. 739–748, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1080/01900692.2012.679173

GERRISH, Ed; SPREEN, Thomas Luke. Does benchmarking encourage improvement or convergence? Evaluating North Carolina’s fiscal benchmarking tool. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, v. 27, n. 4, p. 596–614, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/jopart/mux018

GROVES, Sanford M.; GODSEY, W. Maureen; SHULMAN, Martha A. Financial Indicators for Local Government. Public Budgeting & Finance, v. 1, n. 2, p. 5–19, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-5850.00511

GROVES, Sanford M.; VALENTE, Maureen Godsey. Evaluating financial condition: A handbook for local government. Washington: The international City/Country Management Association – ICMA, 2003.

HAJEK, Petr; OLEJ, Vladmir. Municipal Creditworthiness Modelling by Kohonen’s Self-Organizing Feature Maps and Fuzzy Logic Neural Networks. Artificial Neural Networks-ICANN 2008: 18th International Conference, Prague, Czech Republic, 2008.

HENDRICK, Rebecca. Assessing and measuring the fiscal heath of local governments: Focus on Chicago suburban municipalities. Urban Affairs Review, v. 40, n. 1, p. 78–114, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1177/1078087404268076

HONADLE, Beth Walter; LIOYD-JONES, Mary. Analyzing Rural Local Governments’ Financial Condition: An Exploratory Application of Three Tools. Public Budgeting & Finance, v. 18, n. 2, p. 69–86, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.0275-1100.1998.01135.x

IACUZZI, Silvia. An appraisal of financial indicators for local government: a structured literature review. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting and Financial Management, v. 34, n. 6, p. 69–94, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1108/JPBAFM-04-2021-0064

JI, Hyunjung; AHN, Jeong; CHAPMAN, Jeffrey. The role of intergovernmental aid in defining fiscal sustainability at the sub-national level. Urban Studies, v. 53, n. 14, p. 3063–3081, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098015601600

JONES, Stewart; WALKER, Robert G. Explanators of local government distress. Abacus, v. 43, n. 3, p. 396–418, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6281.2007.00238.x

KLUZA, Krzysztof. Changes in the credit risk profile of polish local governments. An assessment of unsystematic risk. Argumenta Oeconomica, v. 39, n. 2, p. 167–192, 2017a. https://doi.org/10.15611/aoe.2017.2.07

KLUZA, Krzysztof. Risk assessment of the local government sector based on the ratio analysis and the DEA method. Evidence from Poland. Eurasian Economic Review, v. 7, n. 3, p. 329–351, 2017b. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-017-0075-z

LARA-RUBIO, Juan et al. Analysing credit risk in large local governments: an empirical study in Spain. Local Government Studies, v. 43, n. 2, p. 194-217, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1080/03003930.2016.1261700

LEISER, Stephanie; WANG, Shu; KARGMAN, Charles. Perceptions of Local Government Fiscal Health and Fiscal Stress: Evidence From Quantile Regressions With Michigan Municipalities and Counties. State and Local Government Review, v. 53, n. 4, p. 317–336, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160323X211038356

LIMA, Severino Cesário de; DINIZ, Josedilton Alves. Contabilidade Pública - Análise Financeira Governamental. 1. ed. São Paulo: Atlas, 2016.

MAHDAVI, Saeid; WESTERLUND, Joakim. Fiscal stringency and fiscal sustainability: Panel evidence from the American state and local governments. Journal of Policy Modeling, v. 33, n. 6, p. 953–969, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.08.015

MCDONALD, Bruce D.; LARSON, Sarah E. Implications of the coronavirus on sales tax revenue and local government fiscal health. Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs, v. 6, n. 3, p. 377–400, 2020. https://doi.org/10.20899/JPNA.6.3.377-400

MEYER, Daniel F.; NEETHLING, Jan R. An assessment of the financial health of the South African metropolitan municipal regions. Forum Scientiae Oeconomia, v. 9, n. 4, p. 59–77, 2021. https://doi.org/10.23762/FSO_VOL9_NO4_3

MILLER, Gerald J. Fiscal health in New Jersey’s largest cities. Cornwall Center Publication Series, 2001.

MONGWE, Wilson Tsakane; MBUVHA, Rendani; MARWALA, Tshilidzi. Bayesian inference of local government audit outcomes. Plos one, v. 16, n. 12, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0261245

NAVARRO-GALERA, Andrés et al. What can increase the default risk in local governments? International Review of Administrative Sciences, v. 83, n. 2, p. 397–419, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1177/0020852315586308

PALUMBO, George; ZAPOROWSKI, Mark P. Determinants of Municipal Bond Ratings for General-Purpose Governments: An Empirical Analysis. Public Budgeting & Finance, v. 32, n. 2, p. 86–102, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2011.01009.x

PAMPLONA, Edgar; MAZZUCO, Miriam Aparecida Silveira; SILVA, Tarcísio Pedro da. Influência da condição financeira nas subvenções governamentais dos estados brasileiros em cenário de crise econômica. Enfoque: Reflexão Contábil, v. 38, n. 3, p. 19-36, 2019. https://doi.org/doi:10.4025/enfoque.v38i3.42658

PINA, Vicente; BACHILLER, Patricia; RIPOLL, Lara. Testing the reliability of financial sustainability. The case of Spanish local governments. Sustainability, v. 12, n. 17, p. 6880, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/SU12176880

PRESTON, Brian T. Rich Town, Poor Town: The Distribution of Rate-Borne Spending Levels in the Edwardian City. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, v. 10, n. 1, p. 77–94, 1985. https://doi.org/10.2307/622251

PRIDGEN, Annette K.; WILDER, W. Mark. Relevance of GASB No. 34 to financial reporting by municipal governments. Accounting Horizons, v. 27, n. 2, p. 175–204, 2013. https://doi.org/10.2308/acch-50377

PSYCHARIS, Yannis; ZOI, Maria; ILIOPOULOU, Stravoula. Decentralization and local government fiscal autonomy: evidence from the Greek municipalities. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, v. 34, n. 2, p. 262–280, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1177/0263774X15614153

ROBBINS, Geraldine; TURLEY, Gerard; MCNENA, Stephen. Benchmarking the financial performance of local councils in Ireland. Administration, v. 64, n. 1, p. 1–27, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1515/admin-2016-0009

ROSE, Shanna. Institutions and fiscal sustainability. National Tax Journal, v. 63, n. 4, p. 807–838, 2010. https://doi.org/10.2307/41791084

SEBESTOVA, Jarmila; MAJEROVA, Ingrid; SZAROWSKA, Irena. Indicators for assessing the financial condition and municipality management. Administratie si Management Public, v. 2018, n. 31, p. 97–110, 2018. https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=718510

SOUSA, Kleber Morais de; LEITE FILHO, Paulo Amilton Maia; PINHANEZ, Monica de Maria Santos Fomitani. Condição financeira e os fatores socioeconômicos dos municípios brasileiros. Pensar Contábil, v. 21, n. 75, 2019.

SPREEN, Thomas Luke; CHEEK, Caitlin M. Does Monitoring Local Government Fiscal Conditions Affect Outcomes? Evidence from Michigan. Public Finance Review, v. 44, n. 6, p. 722–745, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1177/1091142115611743

TREJO-NIETO, Alejandra. The geography of financial condition in the Mexico City metropolitan area. Local Economy, v. 36, n. 6, p. 487–504, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/02690942211060478

TRUSSEL, John M.; PATRICK, Patricia A. The symptoms and consequences of fiscal distress in municipalities: An investigation of reductions in public services. Accounting and the Public Interest, v. 13, n. 1, p. 151–171, 2013. https://doi.org/10.2308/apin-10373

TRUSSEL, John M.; PATRICK, Patricia A. Assessing and ranking the financial risk of municipal governments. Journal of Applied Accounting Research, v. 19, n. 1, p. 81–101, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1108/JAAR-05-2016-0051

TURLEY, Gerard; DI MEDIO, Remi; MCNENA, Stephen. A reassessment of local government’s financial position and performance: The case of Ireland. Administration, v. 68, n. 2, p. 1–35, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2478/admin-2020-0009

TURLEY, Gerard; ROBBINS, Geraldine; MCNENA, Stephen. A Framework to Measure the Financial Performance of Local Governments. Local Government Studies, v. 41, n. 3, p. 401–420, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1080/03003930.2014.991865

WALKER, R. G.; JONES, Stewart. AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH TO IDENTIFYING COUNCILS ‘AT RISK’. Economic Papers, v. 25, n. 4, p. 347–357, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2006.tb00407.x

YOSHIDA, Motonori. Fiscal Sustainability of Local Governments in Japan†. Asian Economic Journal, v. 34, n. 2, p. 127–162, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/asej.12210

ZAFRA-GÓMEZ, José Luis; LÓPEZ-HERNÁNDEZ, Antonio Manuel; HERNÁNDEZ-BASTIDA, Agustín. Developing an alert system for local governments in financial crisis. Public Money and Management, v. 29, n. 3, p. 175–181, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540960902891731


Desenvolvido por:

Logomarca da Lepidus Tecnologia